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Island Investing

Riffs, rants, and the upside of investing from way off Wall Street

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IIM International Portfolios: Investor Letter for 2020

From Charles Dickens to Amanda Gorman Dickens authored 2020. Whether pondering the coronavirus and the vaccines, social injustice and the response or the fall and rise of global equity markets, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it […]

How Investors Should React to Rising COVID-19 Cases

From an email sent out to all investors… Good morning, IIM investors. As COVID-19 cases continue to rise, new restrictions and lockdown measures are being considered. Some states have implemented curfews, dining restrictions, and mask rules in an attempt to curb the exponential spread of the disease. This has often been a heated political issue […]

IIM International Portfolios: Investor Letter For Q3 ’20

I’m over it. I’m tired of viruses, Brexit and elections; I’m tired of wearing masks, social distancing and missing my friends and family. I keep hearing “these are short-term problems; focus on the long run.”  When’s the “long run” coming? How did my Grandmother, from whose first name my middle name is fashioned, survive all […]

What the Worst GDP Decline in History Means for Investors

From an email sent out to IIM investors… Good evening, IIM investors. The economic recovery continues to send mixed signals in early August. Increased COVID-19 cases in many parts of the country have led to increased restrictions by local governments and businesses. Nonetheless, there are clear signs that the economy is getting back on track. The […]

IIM International Portfolios: First Half of 2020

Sturm und Drang Our hearts go out to those whose loved ones are being impacted by COVID-19; we empathize with those businesses that are trying to find a path forward during this difficult time. The Market As if this insidious virus wasn’t enough of a challenge, investors had to deal with early tropical storms, a […]

Seven Insights for the Second Half of 2020

From an email sent to IIM investors on July 2, 2020: After collapsing by 22 million in March and April, 4.8 million workers returned to work in June, according to this morning’s jobs report – significantly more than the 3 million to 4 million consensus prediction among surveyed economists. This is the second consecutive month […]

Letter to Investors: Tarpon Folio – June 2020

Dear Tarpon Investors, Several quick notes before updating you on Tarpon: 1. The topics I was hoping to cover in this year’s Annual Investor Meeting will be delivered via a series of emails later this summer. 2. Goldman Sachs is buying FOLIO. Stay tuned for what, if anything, that may mean for us. 3. Here […]

Historic Unemployment and the Months Ahead

From an email sent May 13, 2020: Good morning, IIM investors. Given the nature of this COVID crisis, recent unemployment numbers are particularly important to understand. Below is some context for how we’re thinking about them.  It’s also the time of year that RIA firms like ours are required to send out updated versions of […]

An Economy in Recession

From an email sent April 30, 2020: Good evening, IIM investors. This week’s GDP report formally confirmed what you probably already knew: the economy is either already in recession, or soon will be. That report was unique not only because it was rooted in a global pandemic, but because quarterly economic data won’t really tell […]